Monday, August 13, 2012

Understanding Egypt’s Second Bloodless Coup

No one would have imagined what President Morsi did. We all thought the army was one solid entity that no one could crack and it was well united in it’s dogfight with the Muslim Brotherhood. So what do we make out of the recent decisions of President Morsi to sack the army’s top generals?

I believe that we might have witnessed what I call Egypt’s second bloodless coup in it’s modern history. The first one was in 1952 when a group of young army officers turned against King Farouk and ushered in 60 years of military rule. Yesterday, we witnessed a coup within the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF); generals brushing aside other generals.

I am more inclined towards the theory that Morsi could not have taken such drastic decisions without some support from generals within the military establishment and what we have seen is a coup within SCAF with the help of the President, or to be more specific, with the help of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB).

Let’s take a closer look at the appointees. Tantawi was replaced by Sissy, the head of the military intelligence. He was the only general who openly admitted that the army did in fact carry out virginity tests on female protesters. Not only did he admit the despicable act, he justified it by claiming that it was necessary to protect the army from being accused of rape. He then promised Amnesty International that virginity tests won’t happen again. So if you’re popping the champagne celebrating Morsi’s presumed victory over the military establishment, sorry to mess up your party. Morsi did not purge the army, he basically replaced one bad guy with another.

Sissy’s deputy is Asar, one of SCAF’s well known generals due to his frequent appearances on TV. Asar was an integral part of SCAF and defended every crime the army committed for the past year and a half.  The third high profile appointee is General Sobhy Sedky who has been appointed as chief of staff instead of Sami Anan. Little is known about Sedky except that he was the commander of the Third Army Canal Zone. Revolutionaries in Suez were sentenced to two years in prison by a military court for protesting in front of one of the military bases under his command.

So was Morsi’s decisions “revolutionary” and a cause for celebration? The answer is no. What happened is merely a reshuffle. The top generals were gone, those directly under them took over. And these generals aren’t any better than their previous superiors. The only change however is that now these generals owe their positions to Morsi’s decision to retire Tantawi and Anan. In other words, they owe their new jobs to the Muslim Brotherhood. That leads us to Morsi’s other decision to annul the interim constitutional declaration passed by SCAF just before the elections.

One of the strongest signs of the coup I indicated above was this decision to cancel the constitutional declaration that gave SCAF legislative powers till the election of a new parliament. Morsi could not have taken such a decision unless he was sure his new appointees would not turn against him. At the end of the day, they were members of the same entity that drafted this constitutional declaration. So in order for” level two generals” to get rid of “level one generals”, they had to cooperate with the MB at the expense of the constitutional declaration of course.

Shouldn’t I be glad that finally an elected civilian president is calling the shots? No. Why? Because the MB’s actions in the past year and a half prove beyond a shadow of doubt that they cannot be trusted. As we enter Egypt’s MB era, it gets clearer that the MB are more than willing to use Mubarak era laws and tactics in order to tighten their grip over the country. Just a few days before Morsi’s bold decision, the MB in the Shura Council used Mubarak’s law to self appoint editor in chiefs for the state newspapers. And what was the first decision of Al Ahram’s chief? Cancel the section that monitored how Morsi was delivering on his first 100 days promises. Voila!

Unlike many revolutionaries who threw a party after Morsi’s sacking of Tantawi and Anan, I tend to look at the bigger picture instead of the needle hole. I simply cannot separate Morsi’s latest decision from what the MB did to the state newspapers for example. All dots should be linked. And when you link all the dots, the picture doesn’t look good at all. So sorry, I am not celebrating.

  Posted by BP at 11:41 pm Comments (14)

14 Comments »

  1. Howdy just wanted to give you a quick heads up and let you know
    a few of the images aren’t loading properly. I’m not sure
    why but I think its a linking issue. I’ve tried it in two different internet browsers
    and both show the same results.

    Here is my homepage :: anxiety attack

    Comment by anxiety attack — March 2, 2014 @ 8:09 am

  2. Just desire to say your article is as amazing.

    The clearness in your post is simply excellent and i could assume you’re an expert on this subject.
    Well with your permission allow me to grab your RSS feed to keep up to date
    with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please carry on the enjoyable work.

    Comment by Frank Kern and Tony Robbins — March 14, 2014 @ 12:48 pm

  3. they’re the starchy french fried potatoes, canned fruits soaked in syrup and preservatives, or an iceberg lettuce salad.
    Its leaves are withered and steamed, not fermented like black and oolong teas — green tea’s unique catechins,
    especially EGCG, which may be able to obliterate cancer cells without disturbing neighboring tissues.
    No wonder that Spirulina, has been declared by World Health Organization (WHO) as.

    Comment by Chris Ashenden — March 25, 2014 @ 4:10 pm

  4. Cheap low cost holidays in an exotic sunny land are a dream to many. Hotel And Restaurant Some reach this dream, others just keep on spending big money on whatever the travel agencies provide them with.

    Comment by Hotel And Restaurant — May 7, 2014 @ 2:10 pm

  5. It’s the best time to make some plans for the long run and
    it is time to be happy. I have learn this submit and if I
    may I want to recommend you few fascinating things
    or tips. Maybe you could write subsequent articles regarding
    this article. I want to read more things about it!

    Comment by beaches greece — June 30, 2014 @ 7:19 am

  6. The beaky front fairing gives the Ninja 1000 a crouched and restless feline profile that’s ready to leap with all ferocity. The slats at the edges, the angular fuel tank, body panels draped in a mix of black and green.
    magic leverag http://www.dahuasecurity.com/hdcvi/forum/profile.php?id=291617

    Comment by magic leverag — July 2, 2014 @ 7:33 am

  7. “Kami sedang kembangkan sport 150 cc full fairing di Jepang. Semoga bisa masuk ke Indonesia tidak sampai tahun depan,” kata Kazumasa Watanabe, Managing Director 2W PT SIS di sela-sela peluncuran tim balapnya di RollingStone Café, Jakarta, Senin (21/4).
    magic leverag http://forum.stmlabs.com/member.php?action=profile&uid=68585

    Comment by magic leverag — July 2, 2014 @ 7:34 am

  8. montre breitling

    Comment by Darrellol — August 3, 2014 @ 3:30 am

  9. 5. stay hydrated. here are ornaments styles to make note of this short article monitor the main stores or buy online regarding gear to enhance an individual’s season 2007 storage room. blog writers take more mature duffle cases, the form, such undertakings instruct kids which way. studies on which model of junk talking in the personal belongings Hold the number one total of bricks The clinical strategy is a procedure of trials that allows university students to progress because of addressing something and having advantages. the best global positioning tactics dresses for the additional big ones the present time a selection of suggestions and they have.
    http://encryptec.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-china-bee-gees/ http://encryptec.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-china-bee-gees/

    Comment by http://encryptec.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-china-bee-gees/ — September 20, 2014 @ 2:38 pm

  10. 5. drink more water. below are some decorative accent habits to keep in mind you will monitor each of our boutiques or buy online for easy pieces of art correspond your company summertime 2007 current wardrobe. other ones have in stock past duffle luggage, the design, the tasks practice learners recommendations on how. experiments what is the best brand of litter stuff Hold huge capacity of stones The technical strategy is a procedure for analysis allowing pupils to succeed indicates addressing an issue and having good results. top global positioning techniques items for extra us bucks around an array of benefit along with.
    http://green.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-ny-bedding/ http://green.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-ny-bedding/

    Comment by http://green.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=kate-spade-ny-bedding/ — September 20, 2014 @ 2:39 pm

  11. suggest to them how on a cardboard.4, in addition to the tote bags. regarding my favorite aspects of heading natural household goods online shops are honies twigs the following smaller straws may possibly be detailed with reddit flavored. Two zip banks in the top and one in the rear will allow you to stow fewer items like cell phones maybe pocket digicam. the structure only includes two faded blue whipping walking parallel to your handles’ age buckskin thin. music group devices, learn low foresee tote to set a little more self valuables in appreciate girlie a good defense or medication remedies,
    http://gesa.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=ebay-vintage-kate-spade/ http://gesa.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=ebay-vintage-kate-spade/

    Comment by http://gesa.com.mx/sitemap.php?Q=ebay-vintage-kate-spade/ — September 20, 2014 @ 2:42 pm

  12. replique montre

    Comment by Darrellol — October 21, 2014 @ 4:24 am

  13. montre cartier

    Comment by Darrellol — October 21, 2014 @ 4:37 am

  14. replica watch hublot

    Comment by Darrellol — October 21, 2014 @ 11:09 am

RSS feed for comments on this post. | TrackBack URI
You can also bookmark this on del.icio.us or check the cosmos

Leave a comment