Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Who’s Who in Egypt’s Presidential Elections

Here is my take on the elections’ most prominent candidates.

Aboul Fotouh:

Last weekend I attended his last presidential rally. I was impressed by the diversity of the people who accompanied him on stage. They ranged from actress Athar el Hakim to Salafi Noor party spokesperson Nader Bakar. The crowd was mostly middle class from different backgrounds. I saw girls without hair cover, women in Niqab, teens with spiky hair and men sporting the long Salafi beard.

Aboul Fotouh should be credited for his ability to attract such a diverse following, however, the question still looms: who is Aboul Fotouh? Is he Athar el Hakim? Or is he Abdel Meniem el Shahaat, the Alexandrian Salafi lunatic who endorsed him? Or is Aboul Fotouh  a go between both? We do not know.

The umbrella Aboul Fotouh wishes to represent is huge; he has to settle on a position. He cannot be Athar el Hakim and Abdel Meniem el Shahat at the same time.

Aboul Fotouh always reminds me of this scenario. Imagine if the Islamists in parliament repeated their attempt to pass a law that would literally render the Constitutional Court ineffective. Would President Aboul Fotouh sign the bill? The problem with Aboul Fotouh is that we do not know the answer to this question.

If President Aboul Fotouh decided to turn against his Salafi voters and adopt a really moderate and realistic stand on Sharia law, he can very well become our Erdogan, our Mahatir Mohamed. Judging from Fotouh’s rhetoric recently, we do not know if he will become an Erdogan or a Mullah Omar.

Amr Moussa:

I call him President Status Quo. Amr Moussa, as president, will maintain the status quo in Egypt. Nothing much will change. The guy is 76 years old! Moussa is the comfortable choice if you are not a revolutionary and if you think Shafik is too felool for you.  Moussa will be the choice of the voters who got tired of rocking the boat throughout the past year and a half.

I believe Moussa will take many of the undecided voters. He is the candidate with the highest name recognition.

Hamdeen Sabahy:

Sabahy will get your vote if you originally wished to vote Fotouh yet you think the latter is too vague and you just cannot get yourself to trust him. Sabahy is the candidate for all those young revolutionaries who do not know what type of president Aboul Fotouh will be, and who will never vote for Moussa or Shafik.

There are rumors that the sudden surge in Sabahy’s relative popularity was because of the Muslim Brotherhood supporting him with cash. There is still no evidence to support this but it is politically understandable especially that Sabahy has little chance of posing a real threat to the MB’s candidate.

Sabahy will not just get votes from those who do not trust Aboul Fotouh. Through his hard straightforward talk and clean past, Sabahy has managed to appeal to a wide array of voters who want to see a change in Egypt’s political life. He has a history of supporting Arab dictators, but who did not support Sadam during the Iraq war.

Ahmed Shafik:

A few months ago, no one would have ever given Shafik any significance. Yet through a well financed advertising campaign, he is starting to pick up especially with voters who are anti-revolution and want someone “strong” to bring the country back to normality (as if the army generals were schoolgirls!).

I still believe Shafik is weaker than Mousa in the rural areas and I consider him the to be the candidate of the upper/middle class voters who are so phobic of the Islamists and do not mind to see Egypt go back to square one.

Mohamed Morsy:

Mohamed Morsy is the candidate of the Muslim Brotherhood members/sympathizers and whoever was bribed by the MB. He is also the candidate of the lunatic zealots who are not backing Aboul Fotouh. I expect Morsy to make it to round 2 simply because he enjoys two things: God and mammon. And it is hard to beat God and money combined!


  Posted by BP at 4:04 pm Comments (33)


  1. Leaving the recession of 2009 behind, the men’s fashion industry iis back in business with a bang.
    After all, springg doesn’t have to bee limited to soft pastels, blues,
    and grays. Sophie Mapuis, awared as “forever love” by French men.

    Comment by เสื้อคู่ — April 11, 2014 @ 9:31 pm

  2. Greetings! I’ve been following your web site for a while now and finally got the bravery to
    go ahead and give you a shout out from Kingwood
    Texas! Just wanted to tell you keep up the good work!

    Comment by http://collisiononwheels.com — April 19, 2014 @ 4:22 pm

  3. After an amazing day at the beawch and in the water I
    could tell my daughter was ready for another go the day after.
    completing a path unlocks a suit for DS2 as well,
    here’s a code if you care to download iit (assuming you get
    to it first); V9JCH-XCRTW-9Q33D-6WMRP-FGFTZ.
    Strawberry blond, gray, white andd light brown are cool colours.

    Comment by suit — April 20, 2014 @ 10:47 pm

  4. My brother recommended I might like this website.
    He was entirely right. This post actually made my day. You
    can not imagine just how much time I had spent for this info!

    My blog post – commercial lighting atlanta

    Comment by commercial lighting atlanta — June 14, 2014 @ 12:42 pm

  5. And that thing is the marriage of art and writing that come together
    in a symphony of story unparalleled. William Shakespeare’s most popular play, Romeo and Juliet can be found in the
    form of comic strips. Role playing, live, pen and paper, MMOG
    as well as video gamers and board gamers
    all have a lot of interactive fun at gaming conventions.

    Feel free to visit my web blog – how to make comic book characters

    Comment by how to make comic book characters — June 23, 2014 @ 12:48 pm

  6. We stumbled over here coming from a different page and thought I may as well check things out.
    I like what I see so now i am following you.
    Look forward to looking over your web page
    yet again.

    Visit my web blog; great site

    Comment by great site — July 19, 2014 @ 1:11 am

  7. Hi! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any problems with hackers?
    My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing months of hard work due to no backup.
    Do you have any solutions to stop hackers?

    Comment by goji pro comprar — August 1, 2014 @ 9:23 am

  8. Do you mind if I quote a couple of your posts as long as I provide credit and
    sources back to your site? My blog site is in the
    exact same area of interest as yours and my visitors would truly benefit from some
    of the information you provide here. Please let
    me know if this ok with you. Cheers!

    Feel free to visit my web page :: blog making

    Comment by blog making — August 5, 2014 @ 1:43 pm

  9. I rarely create comments, but i did a few searching and wound
    up here The Big Pharaoh Whos Who in Egypts Presidential Elections.
    And I actually do have 2 questions for you if you do not mind.
    Could it be simply me or does it look like a few of the remarks come across like they are written by brain dead people?
    :-P And, if you are posting on other online sites, I’d like
    to keep up with everything new you have to post.
    Could you make a list of all of your public sites like your linkedin profile,
    Facebook page or twitter feed?

    Feel free to visit my homepage: comptoir de quartz prix

    Comment by comptoir de quartz prix — August 15, 2014 @ 1:20 am

  10. What’s up mates, how is the whole thing, and what you would like to say concerning this paragraph, in my view its actually remarkable in favor of me.

    Comment by Kristin — September 19, 2014 @ 1:41 pm

  11. After the listener has grown tired of certain song it can be deleted from his list to obtain yet another
    through the free of charge new music web page. The risk with applications for Mp3 download is that
    they frequently contain adware and spyware. Subliminal learning is now being used for many purposes,
    and it can also be used to enrich your life.

    Comment by turkishwiki.com — September 21, 2014 @ 11:49 am

  12. Hello to all, the contents existing at this web page are actually awesome for people
    knowledge, well, keep up the good work fellows.

    Comment by twitter.com — September 23, 2014 @ 6:56 am

  13. MoviMe motion pictures are viewable offline, so if you snooze on your flight, you can watch it in your hotel

    Comment by free download hollywood movies hd quality pc — September 24, 2014 @ 10:07 pm

  14. Wonderful website. A lot of tips here. I am just delivering them to a few friends ans moreover sharing throughout delicious estrada mobilna. And positively, on account of ones sebaceous!

    Comment by estrada mobilna — September 25, 2014 @ 10:08 am

  15. t know, unknowingly you are pushing yourself into a web. He
    tried a PSN ID and it said that he could not use it.
    Our mission is simple: to provide the and service to
    every game fans at the lowest prices possible.

    Comment by playstation network — September 25, 2014 @ 11:03 pm

  16. Hay que acceder a la web y elegir el partido que se esté disputando en la columna de eventos de la izquierda,
    ahora se desplegarán los enlaces lugar desde el que se pueden mirar gratis.

    Comment by ver el futbol en directo gratis — October 2, 2014 @ 5:53 am

  17. It’s a shame you don’t have a donate button! I’d definitely donate to this outstanding blog!
    I guess for now i’ll settle for bookmarking and adding your RSS
    feed to my Google account. I look forward to new updates and will
    talk about this site with my Facebook group. Chat soon!

    Comment by Softwareentwicklung|SEO — October 2, 2014 @ 9:47 am

  18. No one instruments can carry out every part of SEARCH ENGINE MARKETING.

    Comment by seo elite software full version — October 2, 2014 @ 11:32 am

  19. The 2005 Grand Cherokee passed with flying colors.

    Comment by Used jeep grand Cherokee — October 3, 2014 @ 4:48 am

  20. Hey I know this is off topic but I was wondering if you knew
    of any widgets I could add to mmy blog that automatically tweet my newest twitter updates.

    I’ve been looking for a plug-in like this for quite sime time and was hoping maybe you would have some experience with something
    lile this. Please let me know if you run into anything.
    I truly enjoy reading your bloig and I look forward to your new updates.

    Feel free to surf too my web site hack dragons of atlantis

    Comment by hack dragons of atlantis — October 4, 2014 @ 4:09 am

  21. Greate pieces. Keep writing such kind of information on your page.

    Im really impressed by your blog.
    Hi there, You have done an excellent job. I’ll definitely digg it
    and personally suggest to my friends. I’m confident they will be benefited from this web site.

    Comment by カジノ 腕時計 — October 4, 2014 @ 6:49 am

  22. Excellent blog here! Also your site loads up very fast!

    What host are youu using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host?
    I wish my web site loaded up as fast ass yours lol

    Check out my bog – wizrad101

    Comment by wizrad101 — October 4, 2014 @ 2:22 pm

  23. It’s really very complicated in this full of
    activity life to listen news on Television, therefore I simply use world wide web for that reason, and obtain the most up-to-date information.

    Comment by Reversing — October 4, 2014 @ 7:41 pm

  24. If you wish for to obtain a good deal from this article then you have to apply such
    methods to your won web site.

    Comment by Review — October 5, 2014 @ 5:55 am

  25. Hi everybody, here every one is sharing these experience, so it’s good to
    read this webpage, and I used to pay a quick visit this blog daily.

    Comment by farmville generator cash — October 5, 2014 @ 6:22 am

  26. 4)Kitna must stay the most effective qb within NFC Main. We should
    thank internet for bringing the whole world in our hand.

    Observe whether in a meeting all the attendees are taking part or
    whether some people don’t speak at all or show reluctance to give their opinion.

    Comment by agen bola tangkas — October 5, 2014 @ 9:53 am

  27. Acting professional and singer Patrick Bruel ended up being one among France’s biggest stars in the ’90s,
    first making his / her name like a teen idol and leading a positive return to traditional French chanson in the
    new millennium. Bruel came into this world Patrick Benguigui throughout Tlemcen, Algeria, on May 14, 1959.
    His or her father abandoned the household when Patrick was merely a year old,
    including 1962, after Algeria received its independence, his mom moved to France, residing within the Paris suburb connected with Argenteuil.
    A fine soccer player in the youth, Patrick first settled
    on the idea of being a artist having seen Michel Sardou perform in 1975.

    As good luck could have it, acting would deliver him his first success; first-time representative Alexandre Arcady ran an ad seeking a young man having a French-Algerian (or “pied-noir” in German slang) accent for his film Le Coup hun Sirocco.
    Benguigui (as having been still called) responded and received the part.
    These year, he spent a in Ny, where he attained Gérard Presgurvic,
    later to get his primary composer.

    Source: http://ivanmiljkovic.cba.pl/?p=290

    Comment by youtube music free of charge music — October 6, 2014 @ 4:02 am

  28. The design of the smartphone Samsung Galaxy S3 is very elegant and inspired by nature.
    In terms of operating system, the i – Phone 5 runs
    IOS 6, and Samsung Galaxy S3 runs the latest Android version ‘Ice Cream Sandwich’.
    Samsung Galaxy S III features new Smart Stay technology that makes sure that the screen
    doesn’t give-up while you’re staring at it, by following your eyes with
    the front camera, Direct Calling function lets the
    user call those individual whose text message is currently displayed
    by just lifting the phone to the ear, innovative Pop Up Play feature allows the user to
    play video simultaneously while doing other activities side by side,
    by simply pressing the left corner button plus lots of new options that will definitely attract your attention.

    Comment by bacaselengkapnya — October 9, 2014 @ 3:45 am

  29. Os recuerdo a todos que visualizar este género de partidos es legal dependiendo
    de vuestra ubicación. Muchos de los partidos se
    emiten en abierto en muchos paises.

    Comment by dazzlingnanny4320.jimdo.com — October 10, 2014 @ 6:11 am

  30. I rarely drop responses, however I looked at some of
    the responses on this page The Big Pharaoh Whos Who in Egypts Presidential Elections.

    I actually do have a couple of questions for you if it’s okay.

    Could it be simply me or do some of the comments look like they are left by brain dead individuals?
    :-P And, if you are posting on other places, I would like to
    follow everything new you have to post. Would you post a list of all of your public pages like your linkedin profile, Facebook
    page or twitter feed?

    Comment by toutlesgenerateurs.com — October 11, 2014 @ 6:07 am

  31. Good day very nice website!! Guy .. Excellent .. Wonderful
    .. I will bookmark your blog and take the feeds additionally?
    I’m glad to find numerous useful info here
    in the submit, we need work out extra techniques in this regard, thanks best hiking boots for men sharing.
    . . . . .

    Comment by best hiking boots for men — October 11, 2014 @ 1:46 pm

  32. What’s up, constantly i used to check blog posts here in the early hours in the break of day, for the
    reason that i like to learn more and more.

    Comment by aetherforce.com — October 12, 2014 @ 11:15 pm

  33. I drop a comment whenever I like a post on a blog or
    I have something to add to the conversation. Usually it iis a result of the passion communicated in the article I read.
    And on this articlle The Big Pharaoh Whos Who in Egypts Presidential Elections.
    I wass actually moved enough to post a leave a responsea resonse :) I do have a couple of questions for
    you if youu tend not to mind. Is it just me or does iit look like
    a few of these remarks look like coming from brain dead visitors?
    :-P And, if you are writing at additional sites, I would like to follow everything new yoou have to post.

    Could you make a list all of your public pages like your
    Facebook page, twitter feed, orr linkedin profile?

    Comment by Cherie — January 16, 2015 @ 8:21 am

RSS feed for comments on this post. | TrackBack URI
You can also bookmark this on del.icio.us or check the cosmos

Leave a comment